How do you know how long a task will take?
Estimating how long a task will take can be one of the most challenging parts of project management. There are a few ways a project manager might do this:
- Experience: If the project manager or the team members have done similar tasks before, they can use their past experience to guess how long the new task will take.
- Expert Opinion: Sometimes, a project manager might ask an expert. This person might have a lot of experience with the type of task and can provide a good estimate of how long it will take. This is similar to the
- Breaking it Down: If a job is big and complicated, the project manager might break it down into smaller tasks. It's often easier to estimate how long the smaller tasks will take. Then the project manager can add all the task estimates to determine how long the big job will take.
- Using a Formula: There are also some mathematical techniques that project managers can use. One is called "PERT" (Program Evaluation and Review Technique). It involves making an optimistic estimate (if everything goes perfectly), a pessimistic estimate (if everything goes wrong), and a most likely estimate. Then, these three estimates are combined to give a final estimate.
No matter how they do it, estimating time is always a bit of a guess. That's why good project managers always check how the project is going and adjust their plans if tasks take longer or shorter than expected.